The only decile that loses
The official table for the 2025 law: one group loses, and it's the poorest.
CBO scored the 2025 law for every tenth of the income ladder. The poorest tenth loses about $1,200 a year — 3.1% of its income. The richest tenth gains about $13,600.
The bottom's losses are mostly Medicaid and food stamps. The top's gains are mostly tax provisions.
That's the government's own math — an upward transfer, written into law, on the official record.
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In CBO's own table, exactly one income group loses money from the 2025 law: the poorest.
Receipts: CBO distribution · CBO interactive